Comparing Machine Learning Techniques for Predictions of Motorway Segment Crash Risk Level

نویسندگان

چکیده

Motorways are typically the safest road environment in terms of injury crashes per million vehicle kilometres; however, given high severity occurring therein, there is still space for safety improvements. The objective this study to compare classification performance five machine learning techniques predictions crash risk levels motorway segments. To that end, data on levels, driving behaviour metrics, and geometry characteristics 668 segments were exploited. utilized dataset was divided into training test subsets, with a proportion 75% 25%, respectively. subset used train models, whereas evaluation their performance. response variable models level considered segments, while predictors various design naturalistic metrics. Logistic Regression, Decision Tree, Random Forest, Support Vector Machine, K-Nearest Neighbours. Among techniques, Forest model achieved best (overall accuracy: 89.3%, macro-averaged precision: 89.0%, recall: 88.4%, F1 score: 88.6%). Moreover, Shapley additive explanations calculated order assist interpretation model’s outcomes. findings particularly useful as could be highly promising proactive tool identifying potentially hazardous

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ژورنال

عنوان ژورنال: Safety

سال: 2023

ISSN: ['2313-576X']

DOI: https://doi.org/10.3390/safety9020032